Legal Commentary

Thinking about the Chrysler deal

By Tom Kirkendall

Unworkable credit situation, UAW ownership and Italian engineering. What could possibly go wrong?

The blogosphere has really stepped up in analyzing the government-pushed and government-subsidized asset sale by Chrysler out of its only recently-filed chapter 11 case. The best technical bankruptcy analysis has been provided by Steve Jakubowski, while Larry Ribstein, Professor Bainbridge, Mark Roe and the Epicurean Dealmaker have weighed in ably on the policy considerations of the deal. But Todd Zywicki in this W$J op-ed does the best job of summing up the long-range risk of what the Obama Administration is doing here:

By stepping over the bright line between the rule of law and the arbitrary behavior of men, President Obama may have created a thousand new failing businesses. That is, businesses that might have received financing before but that now will not, since lenders face the potential of future government confiscation. In other words, Mr. Obama may have helped save the jobs of thousands of union workers whose dues, in part, engineered his election. But what about the untold number of job losses in the future caused by trampling the sanctity of contracts today?

Chrysler's proposed asset sale is unusual, but not unprecedented. Still, the legality of what is going on here is certainly sketchy. And what is unprecedented about this case is the participation of the government in financing the deal and the new Chrysler. Theoretically, another bidder could emerge and top the new Chrysler's bid for the assets. However, such a competing bid simply could not be financed under current market conditions absent a subsidy from another government.

So, what to make of all this? Here's what I will be watching.

Will the government market in Chrysler debt? If so, how will the market price it?

Or will the government simply hold the Chrysler debt as the company attempts to re-invent itself, turning the debt into a type of quasi-equity?

And will a company owned predominantly by a union and the government be able to attract the type of creative management and engineering talent that will be necessary to create wealth for the owners?

Frankly, the government bailout is the easy part. Creating wealth is a whole lot tougher.

Full post as published by Houston's Clear Thinkers on May 14, 2009 (boomark / email).