Home -> Law Blog Directory -> Legal Commentary Blogs -> TalkLeft

Legal Commentary

: TalkLeft

OH And TX Polls: Clinton By 16 In Ohio?

By Big Tent Democrat

By Big Tent Democrat

Let's start with the most surprising result, a Columbus Dispatch Ohio poll:

A new Dispatch Poll shows that the New York senator would lead in Ohio by as much as 16 percentage points under the usual turnout scenario dominated by loyal, older party voters -- especially if women show up in force, as they have in earlier primary states.

Even if you presume an unusual influx of young and black poll-goers, Clinton still would hold a healthy single-digit lead, the poll indicates.

Clinton by 16? That result would shake up the race. [More...]

But other Ohio polls have it much closer, McClatchey has it 47-43. But turnout models still hold the key as the internals are not very different in the polls.

In Texas, the latest results from McClatchey show a tie. Latinos overwhelmingly prefer Clinton to Obama by 62-30. That proves yet again that who turns out is the big issue.

Full post as published by TalkLeft on March 02, 2008 (boomark / email).