Legal Commentary

Obama's Potential Path To The Nomination

By Big Tent Democrat

By Big Tent Democrat

Speaking for me only

Noam Scheiber's much cited piece contains a discussion of how Obama can finish Hillary off:

To make it happen, Obama would have to overtake Hillary among superdelegates--a key psychological barrier. He'd have to limit his margin of defeat in Pennsylvania to ten points, then hold serve two weeks later in North Carolina and Indiana, a pair of states he's slightly favored to win. At that point, Hillary would face nearly impossible odds of overtaking him in the delegate race. . . . MORE

. . . Unfortunately for anyone who wants the race to end soon, there are several problems with this scenario. For one thing, even if all this comes to pass, Hillary would still have to bow out voluntarily--an unlikely twist in any event, but highly implausible if the limbo states of Florida and Michigan still offer her hope. Meanwhile, any one of the aforementioned steps could easily fall through. Polls currently show Obama trailing by double digits in Pennsylvania; the good Reverend Wright could make that tough to change. And, though Obama now leads in North Carolina and Indiana, his advantage is either small or, in the latter case, based on a single, flimsy poll. . . .

(Emphasis supplied.) What Scheiber is saying and not dealing with is the fact that he does not think THE VOTERS will end the race. And boy is that terrible or what? How dare they vote for their favored candidate? Yet again, we get this attitude from some parts that Clinton voters would do well to listen to their betters. Keep that up and watch Obama lose Pennsylvania by 20.

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Full post as published by TalkLeft on March 24, 2008 (boomark / email).