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Fagan & Geller on the Effects of Soto v. State on Racial Profiling

By Lawrence Solum

Jeffrey Fagan & Amanda Geller (Columbia Law School and Columbia University School of Social Work) have posted Profiling and Consent: Stops, Searches and Seizures after Soto on SSRN. Here is the abstract:

Following Soto v State (1999), New Jersey was among the first states to enter into a comprehensive Consent Decree with the U.S. Department of Justice to end racially selective enforcement on the state?s highways. The Consent Decree led to extensive reforms in the training and supervision of state police troopers, and the design of information technology to monitor the activities of the State Police. Compliance was assessed in part on the State?s progress toward the elimination of racial disparities in the patterns of highway stops and searches. We assess compliance by analyzing data on 257,000 vehicle stops on the New Jersey Turnpike by the state police from 2005-2007, the final months of the Consent Decree. Specifically, we exploit heterogeneity of officer and driver race to identify disparities in the probability that stops lead to a search. We assume a crime-minimizing or welfarist rationale for stops, under which race-neutral factors are equally likely to motivate stops, regardless of driver or passenger race. We also test a Fairness Presumption (Durlauf, 2006) by comparing search patterns between driver-officer pairs where the driver and officer are different races, and a set of race-neutral benchmarks where the driver and officer are the same race.

Results of fixed effects logistic regressions show that Black and Hispanic drivers, when stopped, are more than twice as likely as White drivers to be searched, regardless of officer race. The results also suggest that search patterns vary significantly by officer race: Black officers are less likely to conduct a search in the course of a stop than are white drivers. We also see significant interactions between the race of officers and that of the drivers they stop: Black drivers are significantly more likely to be searched by white officers than they are by black officers; on the other hand, Hispanic drivers are significantly less likely to be searched by either black or white officers than they are by Hispanic officers. Racial disparities in the selection of stopped drivers for search suggest that despite institutional gains under the Consent Decree in management and professionalization, there were no tangible gains in distributional equity. We review the design of the Consent Decree and the accompanying oversight mechanisms to identify structural weaknesses in external monitoring and institutional design in the oversight of the State Police that compromised the pursuit of equality goals.

Full post as published by Legal Theory Blog on July 20, 2010 (boomark / email).