Legal Commentary

Time/CNN Swing States Poll: Women Prefer Obama

By Jeralyn

Another sign John McCain's Hail Mary pass to use Sarah Palin to save his failing campaign isn't working: Time Magazine/CNN's swing state polls released today. The states polled: Colorado, Michigan and Pennsylvania, Montana and West Virginia

[T]he new poll suggests that the appeal of McCain's running mate Sarah Palin may not be as much of a game changer as some believed a month ago. Obama has a double-digit lead among women in Colorado, Michigan and Pennsylvania, while he ties with McCain in Montana, and is ahead only 3 points in West Virginia.

More good news on the independent/moderate voters: [More...]

Obama has them by anywhere from six to 13 points in Colorado, Pennsylvania and Montana. In all five states, Obama holds a significant advantage over McCain with likely self-identified moderate voters.

A Fox News poll out today shows Obama with a 45 to 39 point lead over McCain.

The new poll finds Obama now has the edge among men (+5 percentage points) — a group that had previously either been evenly divided or slightly in McCain’s column. Obama maintains his advantage among women voters (+8), while white women are a bit more likely to support McCain (+2).

...By a 5-point margin more voters think the Democratic ticket has “better judgment combined” — a reversal from two weeks ago when the Republican ticket had a 4-point edge.

That straight talk express?

Voters are now almost evenly divided when asked who they would go to for advice if they had to make the “toughest decision of their life” — 40 percent say Obama and 39 percent McCain. Earlier this month McCain had a 16-point advantage on this measure (50 percent to Obama’s 34 percent). McCain had a 6-point edge in the August 19-20 poll (43 percent McCain and 37 percent Obama).

Palin problems?

38 percent of voters say they would be “not at all” comfortable with Palin stepping in to serve as president — more than twice as many as say the same about Biden (17 percent).

Palin’s favorable rating has dropped a bit and now stands at 47 percent, down from 54 percent two weeks ago.

I'd call a 7 point drop in 2 weeks more than "a drop" but, hey, it's Fox.

Markos at Daily Kos reports on similar Palin droppings from Gallup.

Full post as published by TalkLeft on September 25, 2008 (boomark / email).